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Eight players get the $23.15 million qualifying offer, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Alec Bohm don't cover
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Eight players get the $23.15 million qualifying offer, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Alec Bohm don't

David Bednar, Seiya Suzuki and Randy Arozarena headline the list, and all eight have until Nov. 17 to decide. History says almost all of them will walk away from the one-year deal.

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  • Eight free agents got the one-year, $23.15 million qualifying offer Monday. Two of the more notable names did not.

    The list: Yankees closer David Bednar, Cubs outfielder Seiya Suzuki, Mariners outfielder Randy Arozarena, Brewers first baseman and outfielder Jake Bauers, Orioles left-hander Trevor Rogers, Twins catcher Ryan Jeffers, Pirates second baseman Brandon Lowe and Padres left-hander Adrian Morejon, the Associated Press reported. Each has until Nov. 17 to accept.

  • Left off: Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm, according to the AP and the Philadelphia Daily News, and Yankees infielder Jazz Chisholm Jr., according to analyst Jim Bowden and Joel Sherman's list of the eight players who did get offers.

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  • Here is why the offer matters. If a player turns it down and signs a major league deal elsewhere before the next draft, his old team gets a compensation pick, and his new team pays a draft price. That draft price is the reason a qualifying offer can cool a player's market. Since the system began after the 2012 season, only 18 of 157 offers had been accepted before this year, per the AP.

    So who should take it? The relievers are the fun debate. Bednar and Morejon would be signing up for $23.15 million for one year of bullpen work, which is the kind of number that makes a short deal look smart. Suzuki, Arozarena and Lowe are the ones most likely to bet on a multiyear deal somewhere else, draft pick attached or not.

    The timing adds pressure. Players could negotiate with every team starting at 5 p.m. ET Monday, and the AP reported MLB is expected to impose a lockout when the collective bargaining agreement expires Dec. 1. That leaves about two weeks after the Nov. 17 deadline for a rush of signings before the market could freeze.

  • Twenty-eight more players became free agents Monday, bringing the total to 183, according to the AP.

    What's next: The eight have until Nov. 17 to accept or decline. Expect most to decline, because most always do.